Abstract
Key words
Introduction
- Fisher B.S.
- Nakicenovic N.
- Alfsen K.
- Corfee Morlot J.
- de la Chesnaye F.
- Hourcade J.-C.
- Jiang K.
- Kainuma M.
- La Rovere E.
- Matysek A.
- Rana A.
- Riahi K.
- Richels R.
- Rose S.
- Van Vuuren D.
- Warren R.
Materials and Methods
Description of Dairy Farming Systems
| Item | Unit | Irish | UK | US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| On-farm size | ha | 40 | 85 | 93 |
| Off-farm size | ha | 3 | 97 | 82 |
| Permanent grassland | ha | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| Milking herd | No. of milking cows | 92 | 220 | 153 |
| Milk production | kg of milk/cow per year | 6,262 | 10,892 | 12,506 |
| ECM production | kg of ECM/cow per year | 6,695 | 10,602 | 11,650 |
| Milk fat | % | 4.47 | 3.95 | 3.58 |
| Milk protein | % | 3.55 | 3.14 | 3.17 |
| Calving interval | d | 368 | 404 | 417 |
| Replacement rate | % | 18 | 34 | 38 |
| Cull rate | % | 18 | 34 | 38 |
| Average BW | kg | 543 | 613 | 680 |
| Stocking rate | LU/ha | 2.53 | 3.74 | 2.79 |
| Concentrate | kg of DM/cow per year | 320 | 2,905 | 3,355 |
| Grass | kg of DM/cow per year | 4,099 | — | — |
| Alfalfa hay | kg of DM/cow per year | — | — | 2,570 |
| Grass silage | kg of DM/cow per year | 849 | 1,142 | — |
| Maize silage | kg of DM/cow per year | — | 1,862 | 2,155 |
| Whole-crop wheat silage | kg of DM/cow per year | — | 825 | — |
| Rape straw | kg of DM/cow per year | — | 219 | — |
| Total intake | kg of DM/cow per year | 5,270 | 6,953 | 8,079 |
| On-farm N fertilizer | kg of N/on-farm ha per year | 250 | 106 | 53 |
| Manure exported | % | 0 | 33 | 0 |
DRMS (Dairy records management systems). 2011. DairyMetrics database. Accessed Aug. 6, 2013. http://www.drms.org/MainPage.aspx?node_id=Dflt1
IRE Grass-Based Dairy System
UK and US Confinement Dairy Systems
FAOSTAT. 2012. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) statistical database. Accessed Nov. 12, 2012. http://faostat.fao.org/site/291/default.aspx
| Item | UK | US | Ireland | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January–May | June–December | Full year | January–March and October–November | |
| Ingredient, g/kg of DM | ||||
| Grass silage | 132 | 118 | — | — |
| Maize silage | 320 | 362 | 250 | — |
| Whole-crop wheat silage | 126 | 180 | — | — |
| Alfalfa hay | — | — | 305 | — |
| Rape straw | 50 | 27 | — | — |
| Rolled barley | — | — | — | 250 |
| Corn grain (dry ground) | — | — | 265 | — |
| Sugar beet pulp | 96 | — | — | 350 |
| Corn gluten | — | — | — | 260 |
| Rapeseed meal | 132 | 139 | — | — |
| Soybean meal | 84 | 89 | 150 | 110 |
| Molasses | 36 | — | — | |
| Megalac | 23 | 30 | — | — |
| Minerals and vitamins | 37 | 19 | 30 4 Contained 33% calcium carbonate, 23% dicalcium phosphate, 20% sodium bicarbonate, 13% salt, 7% magnesium oxide, 13,350mg of Cu/kg, 23,990mg of Fe/kg, 51,000mg of Mn/kg, 430mg of Co/kg, 62,010mg of Zn/kg, 1,030mg of I/kg, 320mg of Se/kg, 700,000 IU of vitamin A/kg, 222,000 IU of vitamin D/kg, and 17,600,mg of vitamin E/kg. | 30 |
| Composition | ||||
| ME, MJ/kg of DM | 11.2 | 11.4 | 11.4 | 11.9 |
| CP, g/kg of DM | 168 | 170 | 182 | 180 |
| NDF, g/kg of DM | 359 | 278 | 340 | 315 |
| Concentrate feeding during robotic milking | ||||
| Concentrate per cow, kg/d | 1.6 | 3.0 | — | — |
| Milk yield threshold for extra concentrate feed, L/d | 31 | 35 | — | — |
| kg of concentrate/L of milk yield above threshold | 0.33 | 0.45 | — | — |
FAOSTAT. 2012. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) statistical database. Accessed Nov. 12, 2012. http://faostat.fao.org/site/291/default.aspx
DRMS (Dairy records management systems). 2011. DairyMetrics database. Accessed Aug. 6, 2013. http://www.drms.org/MainPage.aspx?node_id=Dflt1
DRMS (Dairy records management systems). 2011. DairyMetrics database. Accessed Aug. 6, 2013. http://www.drms.org/MainPage.aspx?node_id=Dflt1
DRMS (Dairy records management systems). 2011. DairyMetrics database. Accessed Aug. 6, 2013. http://www.drms.org/MainPage.aspx?node_id=Dflt1
DRMS (Dairy records management systems). 2011. DairyMetrics database. Accessed Aug. 6, 2013. http://www.drms.org/MainPage.aspx?node_id=Dflt1
GHG Modeling
| Emission and source | Emission factor | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| CH4 | ||
| Enteric fermentation 1 Country-specific emission factors were used to estimate enteric fermentation CH4 emissions for the Irish seasonal grass-based dairy system (IRE), United Kingdom confinement dairy system (UK) and US confinement dairy system (USA). The remaining emission sources were estimated according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change guidelines (IPCC, 2006). | ||
| Dairy cow IRE (housing) | DEI × (0.096 + 0.035 × SDMI/TDMI) − (2.298 × FL − 1) | MJ/d |
| Dairy cow IRE (grazing) | 0.06 × GEI | MJ/d |
| Heifer IRE | 0.065 × GEI | MJ/d |
| Dairy cow UK | 0.06 × GEI | MJ/d |
| Dairy cow USA | 0.055 × GEI | MJ/d |
| Heifer UK and USA | 0.06 × GEI | MJ/d |
| Manure storage | Manure VS stored × 0.24 × 0.67 × (MSa × 0.17 + MSb × 0.02 + MSc × 0.001 + MSd × 0.01) | kg/yr |
| Grazing returns | Manure VS excreted on pasture × 0.24 × 0.67 × 0.01 | kg/yr |
| Ammonia (NH3-N) | ||
| Synthetic N fertilizer | 0.1 × N fertilizer | kg/kg of N |
| Slurry storage | 0.4 × slurry N stored | kg/kg of N |
| Solid manure storage | 0.3 × solid manure N stored | kg/kg of N |
| Manure application | 0.2 × (N stored − NH3 storage loss) | kg/kg of N |
| Grazing returns | 0.2 × N excreted on pasture | kg/kg of N |
| Nitrate (NO3−-N) | ||
| N leaching | 0.3 × N applied | kg/kg of N |
| Nitrous oxide (N2O-N) | ||
| Grazing returns | 0.02 × N excreted on pasture | kg/kg of N |
| Synthetic N fertilizer | 0.01 × N fertilizer | kg/kg of N |
| Manure application | 0.01 × (N stored − N storage loss) | kg/kg of N |
| Crop residues | 0.01 × N crop residues | kg/kg of N |
| Slurry storage | 0.005 × slurry N stored | kg/kg of N |
| Solid manure storage | 0.005 × solid manure N stored | kg/kg of N |
| Dry lot | 0.02 × dry lot manure N stored | kg/kg of N |
| Nitrate leaching | 0.0075 × N leached | kg/kg of NO3−-N |
| Ammonia redeposition | 0.01 × sum of NH3 emissions | kg/kg of NH3-N |
| CO2 | ||
| Diesel | 2.63 × diesel use | kg/L |
| Gasoline | 2.30 × gasoline use | kg/L |
| Kerosene | 2.52 × kerosene use | kg/L |
| Lime | 0.44 × lime application | kg/kg of lime |
| Urea | 0.73 × urea application | kg/kg of urea |
| Item | Baseline and scenario 1 | Scenario 2 4 Scenario 2 applied the same emission factors as the baseline scenario to estimate emissions from non-agricultural products (e.g., electricity), but applied emission algorithms from the original IPCC (1997) guidelines and IPCC (2000) good practice guidelines to estimate emissions from agricultural GHG sources related to the production of feedstuffs. | Scenario 3 | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electricity Ireland, kWh | 612 | 612 | 612 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch Garnsworthy et al., 2012 |
| Electricity UK, kWh | 612 | 612 | 597 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch Defra, 2011c Defra (Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs). 2011c. 2011 guidelines to Defra/DECC’s GHG conversion factors for company reporting: Methodology paper for emission factors. Accessed Dec. 9, 2012. http://www.defra.gov.uk/publications/files/pb13625-emission-factor-methodology-paper-110905.pdf |
| Electricity USA, kWh | 612 | 612 | 658 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch Defra, 2011c Defra (Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs). 2011c. 2011 guidelines to Defra/DECC’s GHG conversion factors for company reporting: Methodology paper for emission factors. Accessed Dec. 9, 2012. http://www.defra.gov.uk/publications/files/pb13625-emission-factor-methodology-paper-110905.pdf |
| Diesel, kg | 359 | 359 | 359 | Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Gasoline, kg | 455 | 455 | 455 | Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Kerosene, kg | 341 | 341 | 341 | Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Ammonium-based fertilizer EU, kg of N | 5,164 | 5,164 | 5,164 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch Howley et al. (2011) Howley, M., E. Dennehy, M. Holland, and B. Ó. Gallachóir. 2011. Energy in Ireland 1990–2010. Energy policy statistical support unit. Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland. Accessed Oct. 10, 2012. http://www.seai.ie/Publications/Statistics_Publications/EPSSU_Publications/Energy_In_Ireland_1990_-2010_-_2011_report.PDF |
| Ammonium-based fertilizer USA, kg of N | 5,164 | 5,164 | 3,616 | Snyder et al. (2009) ; Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Urea EU, kg of N | 2,627 | 2,627 | 2,627 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch Howley et al. (2011) Howley, M., E. Dennehy, M. Holland, and B. Ó. Gallachóir. 2011. Energy in Ireland 1990–2010. Energy policy statistical support unit. Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland. Accessed Oct. 10, 2012. http://www.seai.ie/Publications/Statistics_Publications/EPSSU_Publications/Energy_In_Ireland_1990_-2010_-_2011_report.PDF |
| Urea USA, kg of N | 2,627 | 2,627 | 1,616 | Snyder et al. (2009) ; Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Lime, kg | 43 | 43 | 43 | Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| P fertilizer, kg of P2O5 | 1,926 | 1,926 | 1,926 | Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| K fertilizer, kg of K2O | 363 | 363 | 363 | Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Pesticide, kg of active ingredient | 7,421 | 7,421 | 7,421 | Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Milk replacer, kg | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.34 | Ramírez et al. (2006) ; Ecoinvent (2010) Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch |
| Barley, kg of DM | 373 | 434 | 365 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Corn grain USA, kg of DM | 380 | 455 | 323 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Corn grain EU, kg of DM | 412 | 474 | 417 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Sugar beet pulp, kg of DM | 61 | 70 | 57 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Corn gluten, kg of DM | 1,078 | 1,120 | 1,061 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| DDGS, kg of DM | 929 | 931 | 927 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Rapeseed meal, kg of DM | 482 | 591 | 468 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Soybean meal South America, kg of DM | 1,472 | 1,664 | 1,477 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Soybean meal USA, kg of DM | 299 | 495 | 336 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Straw, kg of DM | 41 | 50 | 38 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Molasses, kg of DM | 149 | 169 | 141 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
| Megalac, kg of DM | 1,032 | 1,120 | 1,020 | Ecoinvent (2010) ; Ecoinvent. 2010. Ecoinvent Centre. Ecoinvent 2.0 database. Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Dübendorf, Switzerland. Accessed Nov. 30, 2012. http://www.ecoinvent.ch O’Neill et al., 2011
Effects of a perennial ryegrass diet or total mixed ration diet offered to spring-calving Holstein-Friesian dairy cows on methane emissions, dry matter intake, and milk production. J. Dairy Sci. 2011; 94: 1941-1951 |
Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing.
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Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing.
Coproduct Allocation
- (1)Milk: no allocation to meat; all GHG emissions were attributed to milk.
- (2)Mass: the GHG emissions of the dairy system were attributed between coproducts according to the mass of milk and meat sold.
- (3)Economic: allocation of GHG emissions between milk and meat was based on revenue received for milk and meat (sales of culled cows and surplus calves). Prices of milk and animal outputs were estimated using the 2006 to 2010 market average (CSO, 2011;
CSO (Central Statistics Office). 2011. Agriculture and fishing statistical products. Accessed Dec. 12, 2012. http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/statire/SelectTable/Omrade0.asp?Planguage=0
Defra, 2011a;Defra (Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs). 2011a. Agriculture in the United Kingdom 2010. Accessed Dec. 1, 2012. https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/agriculture-in-the-united-kingdom
USDA-NASS, 2011b). - (4)Protein: edible protein in milk and meat was used to allocate GHG emissions. The protein content of milk was estimated based on Table 1 and the protein content of meat was assumed to be 20% of carcass weight equivalent (Flysjö et al., 2011a).
- (5)Biological: the GHG emissions of the dairy system was allocated based on feed energy required for producing milk and meat. The IDF (2010) guidelines and the MDSM (Shalloo et al., 2004) were used to estimate feed energy required to produce milk and meat.
- (6)Emission: the GHG emissions associated with producing surplus calves, dairy females <24 mo of age, and finishing culled cows were allocated to meat, with the remaining emissions assigned to milk (O’Brien et al., 2010;Dollé et al., 2011).
- (7)System expansion: this approach assumes that meat from culled cows and surplus dairy calves raised for meat replaces meat from alternative meat production systems (Flysjö et al., 2012). In general, meat from traditional cow-calf beef systems is considered as the alternative method of producing meat from a dairy system. The first step of the approach uses LCA to estimate GHG emissions from surplus dairy calves raised for meat and was calculated using the emission factors of the GHG model where relevant (Tables 3 and 4) and physical data fromTeagasc (2010)for the IRE system,
Teagasc. 2010. Profitable beef production from the dairy herd. Dairy Calf-to-Beef Conference. Teagasc, Johnstown Castle Research Centre. Accessed Nov. 5, 2012. http://www.agresearch.teagasc.ie/moorepark/Publications/pdfs/ProfitableBeefProductionfromtheDairyHerd.pdf
Williams et al. (2006)for the UK system, andCapper (2011)for the US system. The GHG emissions from raised surplus dairy calves were then added to the dairy systems GHG emissions. Subsequently, the meat produced by culled cows and surplus calves raised for meat was summed to estimate the total quantity of meat produced from the dairy system, which was multiplied by the average GHG emissions per kilogram of meat from cow-calf beef systems. This estimates the displaced GHG emissions from traditional cow-calf meat production, which was subtracted from the emissions generated by the dairy system cows, replacements, and surplus dairy calves raised for beef, to estimate GHG emissions per unit of milk. The GHG emissions per kilogram of meat from traditional cow-calf beef systems were calculated according to LCA, using the emission factors of the GHG model where applicable and using physical data and emission factors fromFoley et al. (2011)for the IRE system,Williams et al. (2006)for the UK system, andCapper (2011)for the US system.
- Jungbluth N.
- Chudacoff M.
- Dauriat A.
- Dinkel F.
- Doka G.
- Faist Emmenegger M.
- Gnansounou E.
- Kljun N.
- Schleiss K.
- Spielmann M.
- Stettler C.
- Sutter J.
Scenario Modeling
- •Scenario 1 (S1): enteric CH4 emissions of all dairy systems in S1 were estimated according to the defaultIPCC, 2006guidelines, which estimate enteric CH4 emissions as 6.5% of GEI and include GEI of fat supplements. The remaining emissions sources were estimated using the same algorithms as the baseline scenario.
- •Scenario 2 (S2): emission algorithms from theIDF, 2010guidelines andIPCC, 2000good practice guidelines were applied to estimate emissions from on- and off-farm agricultural activities (Supplementary Table S1, available online at http://dx.doi.org/10.3168/jds.2013-7174). Emissions from non-agricultural activities (e.g., pesticide manufacture) were estimated using the same emissions factors as the baseline scenario (Table 4).
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2000. Good practice guidance and uncertainty management in national greenhouse gas inventories. J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. Lim, K. Tréanton, I. Mamaty, Y. Bonduki, D. J. Griggs, and B. A. Callander, ed. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD/OCDE), Paris, France.
- •Scenario 3 (S3): country-specific emission algorithms from national GHG inventories (Brown et al., 2012;Duffy et al., 2012;US EPA, 2012) and literature sources were used to estimate emissions from on- and off-farm agricultural activities (Supplementary Tables S2 and S3, available online at http://dx.doi.org/10.3168/jds.2013-7174). Emissions from non-agricultural activities were estimated using national literature sources (Table 4).
Results
On-Farm GHG Emissions and Carbon Footprint of Milk from Dairy Systems
| Emission and source | Location | Baseline 2 The baseline scenario used fixed emission factors to estimate emissions from non-agricultural inputs (e.g., fossil fuel) and used the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change guidelines (IPCC, 2006) to estimate emissions from agricultural GHG sources, except for enteric fermentation, where country-specific approaches were applied. | % Baseline change | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | S2 | S3 | |||||||||||
| Irish | UK | US | Irish | UK | US | Irish | UK | US | Irish | UK | US | ||
| CH4, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | |||||||||||||
| Enteric fermentation | On farm | 430.69 | 376.39 | 373.60 | 0.8 | 10.4 | 11.6 | −5.0 | 2.8 | 5.5 | — | — | — |
| Manure storage and spreading | On farm | 42.09 | 118.60 | 121.91 | — | — | — | 111.4 | 129.1 | 127.1 | −16.0 | −31.3 | −32.7 |
| Fertilizer production | Off farm | 1.61 | 0.34 | 0.39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −12.8 |
| Concentrate production | Off farm | 0.82 | 2.38 | 1.55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −1.9 |
| Electricity and other inputs | Off farm | 12.88 | 16.64 | 14.95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| N2O, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | |||||||||||||
| Fertilizer application | On farm | 99.63 | 19.78 | 16.88 | — | — | — | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.4 | −1.9 | 34.3 | −3.4 |
| Manure storage and spreading | On farm | 34.51 | 82.08 | 153.14 | — | — | — | 20.1 | 12.8 | 23.4 | −36.9 | −15.6 | −13.7 |
| Crop residues | On farm | 2.01 | 6.94 | 3.29 | — | — | — | −100.0 | −20.5 | −0.9 | −59.2 | −31.7 | −40.7 |
| Manure excreted on pasture | On farm | 139.94 | 4.62 | 0.00 | — | — | — | 17.7 | 17.7 | — | −46.3 | −26.0 | — |
| Fertilizer production | Off farm | 30.83 | 8.72 | 4.73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −70.0 |
| Concentrate production | Off farm | 7.54 | 36.73 | 52.18 | — | — | — | 35.4 | 66.4 | 66.2 | −1.3 | 29.9 | −45.7 |
| Electricity and other inputs | Off farm | 6.81 | 8.74 | 8.74 | — | — | — | — | 2.1 | 5.6 | — | −0.5 | −8.6 |
| CO2, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | |||||||||||||
| Fuel combustion | On farm | 13.69 | 21.62 | 33.25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lime application | On farm | 1.44 | 0.00 | 1.15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fertilizer application | On farm | 6.71 | 0.00 | 1.61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carbon sequestration | On farm | −77.72 | −10.72 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fertilizer production | Off farm | 43.82 | 11.21 | 9.40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −3.8 |
| Concentrate production | Off farm | 21.44 | 72.24 | 52.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −0.2 |
| Land use change | Off farm | 1.81 | 58.02 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Electricity | Off farm | 10.90 | 41.33 | 39.47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −2.5 | 7.7 |
| Other inputs | Off farm | 5.19 | 8.37 | 9.07 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −0.2 |
| F-gases, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | |||||||||||||
| Fertilizer production | Off farm | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Concentrate production | Off farm | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.04 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| On farm, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | On farm | 693 | 619 | 705 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 15.6 | 29.7 | 31.2 | −12.4 | −7.5 | −8.7 |
| CFP, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | Total | 837 | 884 | 898 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 13.1 | 23.6 | 28.4 | −10.4 | −4.1 | −9.4 |
| On farm no Seq, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | On farm | 771 | 630 | 705 | 0.4 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 14.0 | 29.2 | 31.2 | −11.3 | −7.5 | −8.7 |
| CFP no Seq, kg of CO2-eq/t of ECM | Total | 914 | 895 | 898 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 12.1 | 23.2 | 28.4 | −9.4 | −4.1 | −9.4 |
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2000. Good practice guidance and uncertainty management in national greenhouse gas inventories. J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. Lim, K. Tréanton, I. Mamaty, Y. Bonduki, D. J. Griggs, and B. A. Callander, ed. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD/OCDE), Paris, France.
Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing.
Allocation of GHG Emissions Between Milk and Meat

Scenario Analysis
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2000. Good practice guidance and uncertainty management in national greenhouse gas inventories. J. T. Houghton, L. G. Meira Filho, B. Lim, K. Tréanton, I. Mamaty, Y. Bonduki, D. J. Griggs, and B. A. Callander, ed. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD/OCDE), Paris, France.
Discussion
Comparison of GHG Emissions and Carbon Footprint of Milk from High-Performance Grass-Based and Confinement Dairy Systems
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Influence of LCA Methodology on the Carbon Footprint of Milk from Dairy Systems
Carbon Sequestration and Land Use Change Emissions
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Comparison with Carbon Footprint Studies of Milk
Conclusions
Acknowledgments
Supplementary Table S1
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